The battle for Zim's future must not end with Mugabe's rule

Britain’s so-called rescue package, prepared in anticipation of Mugabe’s exit, seems to be aimed at remote-controlling the next leader from 10 Downing Street

By Madibeng Kgwete: posted on 04 April 2008

Zimbabwean President Robert Mugabe is caught up in a corner, trying to delay the announcement of election results that have already seen the opposition Movement for Democratic Change ahead of the ruling Zimbabwe African National Union – Patriotic Front (ZANU-PF).

Most commentators, as well as international observers and other interested parties, have predicted long before the first vote is cast that Mugabe will try to rig the election in order to extend his 28-year-old rule.

But, given a key constitutional amendment compelling the Zimbabwe Electoral Commission (ZEC) to publish preliminary results outside polling stations, Mugabe, even if he had the intention to rig the election, would not have found it easy to apply the trick.

What is seldom acknowledged, though, is the fact that this key constitutional amendment is a result of South African President Thabo Mbeki’s African Union-sanctioned mediation efforts. After a long while, Mbeki’s widely-criticised “quite diplomacy” is finally bearing fruits. Mugabe is finally caught up in a corner.

Given the MDC’s victory over the ruling ZANU-PF in the parliamentary poll, Mugabe will most certainly never recover from this defeat. The blow seems too severe for the 84-year-old president, who’s been at the helm since independence from Britain.

Though Mbeki’s “quite diplomacy” seems to be paying off, the next president of South Africa may need to carry on the battle over Zimbabwe’s economic future. Already, in anticipation of Mugabe’s defeat, Britain has announced a planned one-billion-euro-a-year package for Zimbabwe.

According to the British newspaper, The Guardian, Mugabe had previously rejected the package because of the conditions attached to it.

Britain’s new efforts to bring back the rejected package should be viewed with suspicion as the main intention behind the new offer seems to be intended to ensure that a new Zimbabwean leader is remote-controlled from 10 Downing Street.

South Africa, working closely with the AU, must continue to play a central role in Zimbabwe even if Mugabe’s 28-year-old rule does come to an end. Mbeki’s quite diplomacy must be carried on to the future to ensure continuity in the battle for Zimbabwe’s economic recovery.